(An attack and murder of General Qassim Suleimani) in Baghdad, Iraq… I suppose if you’re going to do it, those are good conditions.
It’s a precarious place we’re in now. If we knew that the embassy attack was managed from the top, the alternative would have been to let Iran think that it was ok… to assault US soil. But it also forces Iran to either do something or eat it. I’m not sure they’re ready just to eat it, or take that loss, in laymen terms.
This is likely to escalate to open conflict.
I suppose the reason you do it this way is that if we can make the case that these guys managed the embassy assault, Russia will stay out of it.
I think we are fine with fighting Iran inside Iraq and Syria, so long as we aren’t in Iran and Russia doesn’t join. China will also accept our word. They won’t openly support us, but they’ll get it.
And as I think about it, this was about the best circumstance we could’ve asked for… to hit Iran hard without drawing other world powers to their side.
If we aren’t trying to take over or topple Iran, we can fuck them up pretty badly; but this is going to be a big thing now.
And we are going to need Russia and China to stand down – and all the while we are making our case, they’re going to be saying on the surface that it’s a fake case just like the 2nd invasion of Iraq was a fake case.
Overall, it’s probably good for asserting ourselves in the Middle East. Good for asserting ourselves as strong to Putin, and OK with China because we just inked that phase 1 deal last week.
I would guess had we not inked and announced the deal with China, this attack wouldn’t have happened.
I understand there are a lot of troops at Fort Drum and Fort Bragg that were given mobilization orders this morning. I don’t know the number, but based on the people getting called it would be between 10,000 and 40,000. That’s a shit ton of people given that we are currently under 5,000 troops in Iraq.
Similar Read: Syria Will Be Part of Trump’s Legacy – But History’s Judgement Is Still Unclear
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